Growth, Instability and Decomposition Analysis of Chilli Cultivation in India

This study analyzed the growth, instability and decomposition of chili cultivation in India over a period of 30-year using secondary data. The study was divided into three sub-periods: 1993–2002, 2003–2012 and 2013–2022, examining variations in area, production, and yield. Growth trends were measured using the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), and variability was assessed through the Cuddy-Della Valle Instability Index (CDVI). Despite a decline in cultivated area, the results showed that chili production and yield increased, especially during the period 2013–2022. The decomposition analysis revealed that improvements in yield were the primary driver of production growth, although fluctuations in area and the interaction between yield and area impacted overall production. The study emphasized the importance of stabilizing production and enhancing farming practices to sustain growth in chili cultivation.